he scientific method seeks to explain the events of nature in a reproducible way.[nb 11] An explanatory thought experiment or hypothesis is put forward as explanation using principles such as parsimony (also known as "Occam's Razor") and are generally expected to seek consilience—fitting well with other accepted facts related to the phenomena.[1] This new explanation is used to make falsifiable
predictions that are testable by experiment or observation. The
predictions are to be posted before a confirming experiment or
observation is sought, as proof that no tampering has occurred. Disproof
of a prediction is evidence of progress.[nb 12][nb 13]
This is done partly through observation of natural phenomena, but also
through experimentation that tries to simulate natural events under
controlled conditions as appropriate to the discipline (in the
observational sciences, such as astronomy or geology, a predicted
observation might take the place of a controlled experiment).
Experimentation is especially important in science to help establish causal relationships (to avoid the correlation fallacy).
When a hypothesis proves unsatisfactory, it is either modified or discarded.[34] If the hypothesis survived testing, it may become adopted into the framework of a scientific theory,
a logically reasoned, self-consistent model or framework for describing
the behavior of certain natural phenomena. A theory typically describes
the behavior of much broader sets of phenomena than a hypothesis;
commonly, a large number of hypotheses can be logically bound together
by a single theory. Thus a theory is a hypothesis explaining various
other hypotheses. In that vein, theories are formulated according to
most of the same scientific principles as hypotheses. In addition to
testing hypotheses, scientists may also generate a model,
an attempt to describe or depict the phenomenon in terms of a logical,
physical or mathematical representation and to generate new hypotheses
that can be tested, based on observable phenomena.[35]
While performing experiments to test hypotheses, scientists may have a
preference for one outcome over another, and so it is important to
ensure that science as a whole can eliminate this bias.[36][37] This can be achieved by careful experimental design, transparency, and a thorough peer review process of the experimental results as well as any conclusions.[38][39]
After the results of an experiment are announced or published, it is
normal practice for independent researchers to double-check how the
research was performed, and to follow up by performing similar
experiments to determine how dependable the results might be.[40]
Taken in its entirety, the scientific method allows for highly creative
problem solving while minimizing any effects of subjective bias on the
part of its users (especially the confirmation bias).[41]
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